Waarschuwingen

Hydrologic Outlook issued September 23 at 3:27PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FLESFTAEAs Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine approaches the forecast arealater this week, widespread moderate to heavy rain is expectedacross southeast Alabama, southwest Georgia, and the FloridaPanhandle and Big Bend. The current forecast calls for 3 to 6 inchesof rain likely across the area with localized totals as high as 10inches possible. This could lead to some flash flooding, some ofwhich could be locally considerable.Antecedent conditions are rather wet along and west of theApalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF) River system. Many of theseareas are 3 to 7 inches above normal over the last 2 weeks. Farthereast, rainfall has generally been near or below normal. Given thesaturated soils over the western areas, these areas may be moresusceptible to flash flooding. Urban and poor drainage areas wouldalso be susceptible. The Weather Prediction Center has outlined mostof our forecast area in a Moderate Risk for Excessive Rainfall,which is a level 3 of 4. This is highly unusual given we are 3 to 4days from the event, which highlights the threat and the confidenceof the heavy rainfall potential. A Flood Watch will likely be neededTuesday afternoon or early Wednesday morning for much of the area.On the riverine front, at least minor river flooding is possible atmany of our forecast points given the current rainfall forecast. Inareas that exceed 6 inches of rain, locally moderate river floodingwould be possible. As a reminder, river forecasts only account forthe next 48 hours of rainfall. Thus, current river forecasts do notaccount for any rainfall from the tropical system at this point.Stay tuned to later updates.

National Weather Service

Flood Watch issued September 24 at 2:46AM EDT until September 27 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall due to a tropicalsystem.* WHERE...Portions of southeast Alabama, including the followingareas, Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry and Houston, Florida, includingthe following areas, Calhoun, Central Walton, Coastal Bay, CoastalDixie, Coastal Franklin, Coastal Gulf, Coastal Jefferson, CoastalTaylor, Coastal Wakulla, Gadsden, Holmes, Inland Bay, InlandDixie, Inland Franklin, Inland Gulf, Inland Jefferson, InlandTaylor, Inland Wakulla, Jackson, Lafayette, Leon, Liberty,Madison, North Walton, South Walton and Washington, and Georgia,including the following areas, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks,Calhoun, Clay, Colquitt, Cook, Decatur, Dougherty, Early, Grady,Irwin, Lanier, Lee, Lowndes, Miller, Mitchell, Quitman, Randolph,Seminole, Terrell, Thomas, Tift, Turner and Worth.* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Friday morning.* IMPACTS...Excessive rainfall due to a tropical system will likelyresult in areas of flash flooding some of which could be locallyconsiderable across portions of the watch area.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...- As Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine approaches the forecastarea later this week, widespread moderate to heavy rain isexpected across southeast Alabama, southwest Georgia, and theFlorida Panhandle and Big Bend. The current forecast callsfor 3 to 6 inches of rain likely across the area withlocalized totals as high as 10 inches possible acrossportions of the Florida Big Bend. This could lead to someflash flooding, some of which could be locally considerable.Antecedent conditions are rather wet along and west of theApalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF) River system. Farthereast, rainfall has generally been near or below normal. Giventhe saturated soils over the western areas, these areas maybe more susceptible to flash flooding. Urban and poordrainage areas would also be susceptible.- http://www.weather.gov/safety/floodYou should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible FloodWarnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be preparedto take action should flooding develop.

National Weather Service